The WFP Finals start tomorrow. And now that the field is set and there aren’t any more withdrawals (I think), we can take a look at what each athlete needs to do in order to retain or each a Pro Card for the 2026 season.
The top 20 men and women based on total season points will earn a Pro Card contract for the 2026 WFP season. Heading into the Finals, only two men who have a Pro Card are sitting outside the top 20. Of those still in the competition, Bjorgvin Karl Gudmundsson is 22nd in season points while Jeff Adler is sitting in 27th.
All remaining women with Pro contracts are inside the top 20. Emily Rolfe is the closest to the cut line in 20th place.
With the WFP Finals points worth double (1st place earns 1,000 season points), I have calculated the minimum place needed this weekend for each athlete to either [i] guarantee a Pro Card contract if they are already in the top 20 or [ii] the minimum points needed to have a shot at moving into the top 20 if they are currently sitting in 21st to 30th.
TOP 20 MEN
The biggest headline is that James Sprague is guaranteed a 2026 Pro contract as has mathematically accumulated enough season points to finish inside the top 20, even if he takes last place.
Here are the top 20 men. The place in parentheses represents the minimum place they can finish at the WFP Finals to guarantee they stay in the top 20 for the season.
For example, if Dallin Pepper finishes 27th or better this weekend, he will be in the top 20 no matter what. However, if Pepper finishes 28th, there is a scenario where he could fall outside the top 20. It would be extremely unlikely as that would require a lot of things to fall in place, but it’s not impossible.
1. James Sprague (30th/guaranteed)
2. Roman Khrennikov (28th)
3. Dallin Pepper (27th)
4. Ricky Garard (20th)
5. Justin Medeiros (19th)
6. Colten Mertens (17th)
7. Pat Vellner (16th)
8. Aniol Ekai (14th)
9. Noah Ohlsen (13th)
10. Gui Malheiros (13th)
11. Chandler Smith (13th)
12. Jelle Hoste (12th)
13. Nick Mathew (8th)
14. Tudor Magda (8th)
15. Luka Djukic (8th)
16. Travis Mayer (6th)
17. Jack Farlow (6th)
18. Nate Ackermann (6th)
19. Chris Ibarra (6th)
20. Jonne Koski (6th)
BOTTOM 20 MEN
The men in 21st to 30th are currently on the outside looking in. These men will need a good weekend to move into the top 20 to secure a Pro Card for next season.
The place in parentheses represents the minimum finish each athlete needs to keep their hopes alive. That is, if Ty Jenkins finishes 26th or worse, he is mathematically eliminated from the top 20. However, if he finishes 25th or better, he can still jump into Pro Card status. Obviously, the better Jenkins does his odds improve.
21. Colin Bosshard (28th)
22. Bjorgvin K. Gudmundsson (28th)
23. Ty Jenkins (25th)
24. Dani Camacho (23rd)
25. Tola Morakinyo (21st)
26. Julius Kieser (19th)
27. Jeff Adler (17th)
28. Tommaso Pieri (17th)
29. Matt Gilpin (12th)
30. Troy Clay (10th)
TOP 20 WOMEN
Just like the men, the place in parentheses indicates the lowest finish each athlete can afford to take while still guaranteeing they stay inside the top 20.
1. Aimee Cringle (29th)
2. Lucy Campbell (26th)
3. Laura Horvath (26th)
4. Arielle Loewen (24th)
5. Emma Lawson (22nd)
6. Emma Tall (22nd)
7. Brooke Wells (17th)
8. Olivia Kerstetter (16th)
9. Anikha Greer (15th)
10. Sydney Wells (14th)
11. Andrea Solberg (10th)
12. Fee Saghafi (10th)
13. Oda Lundekvam (10th)
14. Manon Angonese (10th)
15. Dani Speegle (8th)
16. Var Thurmann-Moe (8th)
17. Sydney Michalyshen (7th)
18. Ella Wilkinson (7th)
19. Hannah Black (6th)
20. Emily Rolfe (6th)
BOTTOM 20 WOMEN
These athletes are currently outside the cut line. The rank listed below is the minimum finish they need to keep their hopes alive. If they finish lower than this, they are mathematically eliminated.
21. Linda Keesman (28th)
22. Lydia Fish (27th)
23. Jennifer Muir (27th)
24. Elena Carratala (18th)
25. Emily Rethwill (18th)
26. Janie Cheverie (16th)
27. Noortje Bleeker (15th)
28. Vivien-Marie Christian (11th)
29. Amanda Fischer (10th)
30. Maribel Gallardo (10th)
Key Insight: The women’s field is significantly tighter than the men’s. While the top male athlete, James Sprague, is already guaranteed safe, no woman is mathematically safe yet. Even the current leader, Cringle, must avoid finishing last (30th) to 100% guarantee her spot, whereas Sprague just has to show up to be safe.
